Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 19:45
11.3869.1%
X4.9319.4%
28.3011.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Verona
WLDLWLLWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

3.40
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.20
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
4.20
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

3.40goals per match
Verona conceded1.20
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.20
9.30
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
20.00
Match total
29.00

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
8.80
On target
5.40
24%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%68.8%-0.4 pp
Draw19.4%18.8%-0.6 pp
Away11.5%12.5%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.440.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
1-012.5%
3-112.5%
2-16.3%
1-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.693.56
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.512.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away20.0%