League Two · 2019/20
2020-03-03 · 19:45
12.3240.4%
X3.1629.6%
23.1230.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WDWDWWDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Crewe
LDWLLDDWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
7.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.00
11.10
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

2.10goals per match
Crewe conceded1.80
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.50goals per match
Exeter conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.00
11.10
Match total
12.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
20.30
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%35.3%-5.1 pp
Draw29.6%33.8%+4.2 pp
Away30.0%30.9%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.281.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.2%
1-111.8%
0-110.3%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.87
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI
Draw FT57.7%38.9%–74.5% CI
Away FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.7%
2+ goals26.9%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away42.3%