Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-03 · 19:45
14.4221.5%
X3.7525.4%
21.7953.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
WLDDDWLLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Napoli
WLWDDLDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
10.50
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
3.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.50
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Sampdoria conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
10.50
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.70
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
27.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.70
On target
6.30
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%17.6%-3.9 pp
Draw25.4%29.4%+4.1 pp
Away53.1%52.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.181.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.6%
0-117.6%
0-011.8%
2-211.8%
2-311.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.824.94
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away46.7%