League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
13.7724.8%
X3.4826.9%
21.9448.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morecambe
LWDWLDWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Crewe
WLDWLLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
6.80N=10
5.80
Against
4.40
9.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.20goals per match
Crewe conceded1.90
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.80goals per match
Morecambe conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.40
9.70
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
0.50N=10
2.40
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
20.90
Match total
22.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
2.90
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%27.5%+2.7 pp
Draw26.9%27.5%+0.6 pp
Away48.3%45.0%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.131.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.0%
1-110.0%
0-010.0%
0-110.0%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.836.17
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.552.5%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%