League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
11.7752.8%
X3.6925.3%
24.2921.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WWDWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Crawley Town
DLDLDDLDDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
7.00
11.80
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

2.10goals per match
Crawley Town conceded1.30
Matchup

Crawley Town attack

0.90goals per match
Exeter conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.00
11.80
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%59.5%+6.7 pp
Draw25.3%28.6%+3.2 pp
Away21.8%11.9%-9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.550.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
1-014.3%
1-114.3%
2-014.3%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.483.86
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.7%
Away42.1%