League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
11.7752.8%
X3.6925.3%
24.2921.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
WWDWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Crawley Town
DLDLDDLDDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
7.00
11.80
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
2.10goals per matchCrawley Town conceded1.30Matchup
Crawley Town attack
0.90goals per matchExeter conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.00
11.80
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.00
Match total
23.40
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%59.5%+6.7 pp
Draw25.3%28.6%+3.2 pp
Away21.8%11.9%-9.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.55–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.7%
1-014.3%
1-114.3%
2-014.3%
0-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.48–3.86
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals26.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.7%
Away42.1%