League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.4638.1%
X3.3028.4%
22.7933.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WWWWDWWWLL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Exeter
LLWWDWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.60
Against
5.30
10.40
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.80goals per match
Exeter conceded1.40
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.20goals per match
Northampton conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.30
10.40
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.70
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
28.00
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%38.3%+0.3 pp
Draw28.4%25.0%-3.4 pp
Away33.6%36.7%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.321.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
1-011.7%
0-111.7%
1-210.0%
2-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.034.35
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.3%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Draw FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away55.0%