Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 17:00
13.2429.4%
X3.4727.4%
22.2043.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LLLDDDDLLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Torino
WLLLLWWDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
7.30
Against
8.30
13.00
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.10goals per match
Torino conceded1.60
Matchup

Torino attack

1.60goals per match
Lecce conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
7.30
Corners against
8.30
13.00
Match total
12.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
27.90
Match total
31.30

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%29.7%+0.4 pp
Draw27.4%32.4%+5.0 pp
Away43.2%37.8%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.271.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.5%
2-213.5%
0-110.8%
0-010.8%
1-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.385.11
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.564.9%
Over 10.554.1%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away60.0%