League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.2541.6%
X3.3328.1%
23.0930.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
LLWDDDLWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Morecambe
LDLLLLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.10
Against
8.40
10.40
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.70goals per match
Morecambe conceded2.00
Matchup

Morecambe attack

0.60goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
8.40
10.40
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.40
Match total
2.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
25.90
Match total
20.80

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
2.40
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%44.7%+3.1 pp
Draw28.1%26.5%-1.6 pp
Away30.3%28.8%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.431.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.1%
0-010.6%
2-09.8%
1-19.8%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.914.48
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.0%24.5%–51.4% CI
Draw FT45.7%32.2%–59.8% CI
Away FT17.4%9.1%–30.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away37.0%