League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
12.4538.1%
X3.2828.5%
22.8033.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
DWWWWWLWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Crewe
DWLDWLLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

2.20goals per match
Crewe conceded1.80
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.80goals per match
Plymouth conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.30
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
21.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.40
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%38.5%+0.3 pp
Draw28.5%38.5%+10.0 pp
Away33.4%23.1%-10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS73.1%

Historical average

1.581.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.1%
1-215.4%
2-215.4%
2-111.5%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.124.65
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.542.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%