League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
12.3839.3%
X3.2528.8%
22.9431.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mansfield
WLLLDDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Newport County
LDWLLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
5.90
9.40
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

2.00goals per match
Newport County conceded1.40
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.80goals per match
Mansfield conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.90
9.40
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.50
Match total
26.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.20
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%40.5%+1.2 pp
Draw28.8%34.5%+5.7 pp
Away31.8%25.0%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.381.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
1-015.5%
2-19.5%
0-06.9%
0-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.345.04
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT44.7%30.1%–60.3% CI
Away FT23.7%13.0%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals7.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away52.6%