League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
11.9947.0%
X3.4527.1%
23.6225.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Grimsby
LLDLLDWLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Morecambe
WLDLLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Against
8.30
9.00
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Grimsby attack
0.70goals per matchMorecambe conceded1.80Matchup
Morecambe attack
0.60goals per matchGrimsby conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
8.30
9.00
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.40
Match total
22.20
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%46.6%-0.4 pp
Draw27.1%29.5%+2.4 pp
Away25.9%23.9%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.33–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.8%
1-112.5%
2-112.5%
0-011.4%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.66–4.41
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.2%32.0%–63.0% CI
Draw FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Away FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away36.1%