League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
12.2042.5%
X3.4727.0%
23.0730.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crawley Town
WLDLDWDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Carlisle
LDLDLWLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
11.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Crawley Town attack

1.60goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.80
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.30goals per match
Crawley Town conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
11.30
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.40
Match total
24.00

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%44.0%+1.5 pp
Draw27.0%29.3%+2.4 pp
Away30.5%26.7%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.361.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-014.7%
2-110.7%
2-09.3%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.84
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.545.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away50.0%