League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-11 · 19:45
12.7234.5%
X3.2329.0%
22.5736.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WWWWWDWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Swindon
LWWWDLWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
0.40
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.20
Against
4.50
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

2.00goals per match
Swindon conceded1.60
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.70goals per match
Northampton conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.50
9.70
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.70
Match total
26.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.30
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%37.4%+2.9 pp
Draw29.0%24.2%-4.9 pp
Away36.5%38.5%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.241.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.1%
1-012.1%
1-111.0%
0-18.8%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.735.36
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.567.0%
Over 10.559.3%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Draw FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away48.3%