Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 14:00
11.2277.8%
X6.3914.9%
212.967.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DWWDWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Spal
LLLLDLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.70
Against
7.30
9.80
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

3.00goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Matchup

Spal attack

0.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.30
9.80
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Match total
6.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
21.20
Match total
31.10

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
9.10
On target
3.50
20%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.8%92.3%+14.5 pp
Draw14.9%7.7%-7.2 pp
Away7.3%0.0%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.690.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-138.5%
2-023.1%
4-07.7%
4-17.7%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.692.54
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%