League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 15:00
12.0346.2%
X3.2628.8%
23.7425.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
LWWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Port Vale
DLWWLDDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.70
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

2.00goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.50
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.20goals per match
Northampton conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
28.20
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.00
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%51.2%+5.0 pp
Draw28.8%29.1%+0.3 pp
Away25.1%19.8%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.519.8%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.450.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-115.1%
2-112.8%
2-011.6%
0-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.60
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.4%32.0%–65.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT12.9%5.1%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.5%
Away35.5%