Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 14:00
11.2476.4%
X6.1515.4%
211.588.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LDWWLLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Genoa
LLLLDDDLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
2.30
90%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.00
Against
6.00
11.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
2.30
4.50
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.90goals per match
Genoa conceded2.30
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.00
11.50
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.70
Match total
5.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
26.60
Match total
28.70

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
10.00
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.4%94.7%+18.3 pp
Draw15.4%5.3%-10.1 pp
Away8.2%0.0%-8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.578.9%
Over 3.547.4%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

2.950.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-126.3%
2-021.1%
3-110.5%
4-010.5%
4-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.843.63
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.557.9%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away61.5%