League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 15:00
13.7525.0%
X3.4627.1%
21.9647.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
DWLLWDDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Swindon
LLWWWDLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
2.10
50%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.50
9.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.70goals per match
Swindon conceded1.70
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.70goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.50
9.90
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.80
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
26.60
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
2.70
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.0%28.1%+3.1 pp
Draw27.1%21.9%-5.2 pp
Away47.9%50.0%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.191.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-29.4%
0-19.4%
1-29.4%
2-06.3%
0-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.096.00
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.1%
Over 9.565.6%
Over 10.553.1%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%