League Two · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 15:00
12.1044.6%
X3.3028.4%
23.4627.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LDWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Exeter
DLLLWWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
8.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.80goals per match
Exeter conceded1.50
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.90goals per match
Swindon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
8.10
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.70
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
26.70
Match total
20.50

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%47.3%+2.7 pp
Draw28.4%29.5%+1.1 pp
Away27.1%23.2%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.461.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-012.5%
2-09.8%
0-08.9%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.36
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Draw FT43.2%28.7%–59.1% CI
Away FT16.2%7.7%–31.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away37.8%