Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 11:30
11.3471.2%
X5.1118.7%
29.3610.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Fiorentina
LDWDWLLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
11.30
Total
12.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.40goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.50Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.40goals per matchJuventus conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
11.30
Match total
12.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.50
Match total
28.50
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
8.60
On target
5.50
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.2%86.4%+15.2 pp
Draw18.7%13.6%-5.0 pp
Away10.2%0.0%-10.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS45.5%
Historical average
2.55–0.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.2%
1-013.6%
2-013.6%
5-013.6%
1-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.95–3.55
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.568.2%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.86
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away35.7%