Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 19:45
14.0023.8%
X3.9324.2%
21.8352.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WWLLLWLDLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Roma
DWWDWLWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
1.90
Conceded
0.70
100%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.40
Against
5.80
12.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.90
Goals conceded
0.70
4.00
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

2.10goals per match
Roma conceded0.70
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.80
12.60
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.60
Match total
6.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
29.30
Match total
27.40

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.60
On target
5.20
22%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.8%14.3%-9.5 pp
Draw24.2%28.6%+4.4 pp
Away52.0%57.1%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.291.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.4%
0-214.3%
3-314.3%
2-314.3%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.436.50
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away58.3%