League Two · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 19:45
12.7733.8%
X3.2728.7%
22.5037.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
DWDDWLDWDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Exeter
DDLLLWWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.10
11.20
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.40goals per match
Exeter conceded1.30
Matchup

Exeter attack

0.90goals per match
Port Vale conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.10
11.20
Match total
11.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.20
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%26.1%-7.8 pp
Draw28.7%26.1%-2.6 pp
Away37.5%47.8%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

1.071.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.9%
0-114.5%
1-111.6%
1-010.1%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.555.20
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.4%
Over 9.562.3%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away69.6%