Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 17:00
11.9149.9%
X3.7025.8%
23.9124.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LLWDWWWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Parma
WLLDDDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
2.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.30
Against
8.00
9.90
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

2.00goals per match
Parma conceded1.70
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
8.00
9.90
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.90
Match total
24.60

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
20%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%43.5%-6.4 pp
Draw25.8%26.1%+0.3 pp
Away24.4%30.4%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.361.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.0%
1-111.6%
1-011.6%
0-08.7%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.134.36
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.7%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away45.5%