League Two · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 15:00
11.8550.8%
X3.4727.1%
24.2522.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LLDWWWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Port Vale
LDLWWLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.40
8.50
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.50goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.40
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.20goals per match
Swindon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.40
8.50
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.30
Match total
22.20

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.50
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%60.9%+10.1 pp
Draw27.1%17.4%-9.7 pp
Away22.1%21.7%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.780.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.4%
1-113.0%
1-213.0%
2-113.0%
3-113.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.133.96
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.9%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.552.2%
Over 11.543.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%