Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 14:00
11.6956.4%
X4.0123.8%
24.7919.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WLDWLDLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Brescia
WLWLLLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.90
Against
6.60
11.20
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.50goals per matchBrescia conceded1.70Matchup
Brescia attack
0.80goals per matchBologna conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.60
11.20
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
33.00
Match total
29.10
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%55.3%-1.1 pp
Draw23.8%21.1%-2.7 pp
Away19.9%23.7%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS65.8%
Historical average
1.79–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.8%
2-013.2%
2-210.5%
1-110.5%
1-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.21–4.13
Average total11.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.6%
Over 9.571.1%
Over 10.555.3%
Over 11.536.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals27.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home88.9%
Away38.9%