Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 14:00
11.6956.4%
X4.0123.8%
24.7919.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLDWLDLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Brescia
WLWLLLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.90
Against
6.60
11.20
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.50goals per match
Brescia conceded1.70
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.60
11.20
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Match total
5.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
33.00
Match total
29.10

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%55.3%-1.1 pp
Draw23.8%21.1%-2.7 pp
Away19.9%23.7%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS65.8%

Historical average

1.791.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.8%
2-013.2%
2-210.5%
1-110.5%
1-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.214.13
Average total11.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.6%
Over 9.571.1%
Over 10.555.3%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away38.9%