League Two · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
12.0645.4%
X3.4427.2%
23.4227.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oldham
DWDLWDDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Carlisle
WLLLDLDLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
10.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Oldham attack

1.40goals per match
Carlisle conceded2.00
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.00goals per match
Oldham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
10.40
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.80
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.50
Match total
22.90

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.80
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%43.3%-2.1 pp
Draw27.2%23.9%-3.3 pp
Away27.4%32.8%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.371.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-013.4%
1-211.9%
2-19.0%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.90
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away56.3%