League Two · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
11.5560.5%
X3.9223.9%
26.0015.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WDLWWWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Morecambe
LLLWLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.40
0.50
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
8.70
9.30
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.40
0.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.70goals per match
Morecambe conceded2.10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

0.40goals per match
Northampton conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
8.70
9.30
Match total
11.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.70
Match total
2.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
27.20
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.50
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.5%52.4%-8.1 pp
Draw23.9%19.0%-4.9 pp
Away15.6%28.6%+13.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.570.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.0%
1-014.3%
3-19.5%
1-19.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.903.76
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.9%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.552.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%