Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 19:45
13.4427.7%
X3.6126.4%
22.0746.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WLWWDDLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Juventus
WDWWDWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
7.00
10.40
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.10goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.00
10.40
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
24.20
Match total
27.60

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
7.70
On target
5.50
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%27.8%+0.1 pp
Draw26.4%22.2%-4.1 pp
Away46.0%50.0%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.502.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.1%
2-111.1%
2-411.1%
2-211.1%
1-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.446.22
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.544.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away53.8%