League Two · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
12.9332.0%
X3.1429.8%
22.4538.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WDWWDLLDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Swindon
WWLLWWWDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.50
Against
4.40
8.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.00goals per match
Swindon conceded1.30
Matchup

Swindon attack

2.00goals per match
Newport County conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.40
8.90
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.00
Match total
25.90

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%32.4%+0.5 pp
Draw29.8%24.3%-5.5 pp
Away38.2%43.2%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.516.2%
BTTS35.1%

Historical average

0.891.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-121.6%
1-016.2%
0-210.8%
0-08.1%
2-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.355.41
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.551.4%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

0.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals8.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away33.3%