Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 17:00
12.7334.8%
X3.6126.3%
22.4438.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetRoma: 10/10 · Lazio: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
DWLDWWWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lazio
WLLDWWWWW
6W 1D 2L · 2.11 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.78
1.50
Conceded
1.11
70%
Over 2.5
89%
70%
BTTS
78%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.78
1.80
2H goals
1.11
90%
Goal in 2H
78%
Corners
9.10N=10
For
5.89N=9
3.10
Against
5.11
12.20
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
1.90
Goals scored
1.78
1.50
Goals conceded
1.11
3.40
Total goals
2.89
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.90goals per matchLazio conceded1.11Matchup
Lazio attack
1.78goals per matchRoma conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.90
1H goals scored
0.89
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.89
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.89
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.22
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
9.10N=10
Corners for
5.89N=9
3.10
Corners against
5.11
12.20
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
3.33N=9
5.40
Match total
6.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
13.56N=9
28.30
Match total
25.33
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.89N=9
8.20
On target
6.89
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%40.0%+5.2 pp
Draw26.3%26.7%+0.4 pp
Away38.9%33.3%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.40–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-120.0%
1-313.3%
2-113.3%
2-013.3%
2-213.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–5.67
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away46.7%