Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 14:00
11.6258.7%
X4.0823.3%
25.2918.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
DLDWLWWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lecce
LWWLDDLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
7.80
10.20
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.20goals per match
Lecce conceded2.10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.20goals per match
Verona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.80
10.20
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
29.80
Match total
28.70

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%61.1%+2.4 pp
Draw23.3%16.7%-6.6 pp
Away18.0%22.2%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS77.8%

Historical average

2.221.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-122.2%
1-211.1%
1-111.1%
4-15.6%
3-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.893.61
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%