Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 14:00
12.2642.1%
X3.3228.6%
23.2529.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LWLDDDWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sassuolo
LLLWDDDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.40
Against
6.20
11.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.10goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.20
11.00
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.20
Match total
29.70

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.00
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%45.6%+3.5 pp
Draw28.6%26.5%-2.2 pp
Away29.3%27.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.431.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
0-010.3%
1-110.3%
0-110.3%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.494.40
Average total10.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.567.6%
Over 10.554.4%
Over 11.544.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away38.1%