Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 11:30
11.3272.0%
X5.2518.1%
29.569.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWWLDWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cagliari
WWDDWDDLLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.50
Against
7.70
10.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.50
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.50goals per match
Inter conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.70
10.30
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
24.60
Match total
27.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
7.10
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.0%71.4%-0.5 pp
Draw18.1%19.0%+1.0 pp
Away9.9%9.5%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

2.240.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.3%
2-014.3%
2-29.5%
3-09.5%
5-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.763.14
Average total10.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%