Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 19:45
14.5520.9%
X4.0623.4%
21.7155.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
WLWDDLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Atalanta
WWWWDDDWLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.10
Against
3.40
12.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.20
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.10goals per match
Torino conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.40
12.60
Match total
8.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.80
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
32.20
Match total
29.50

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.30
On target
7.60
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.9%17.6%-3.3 pp
Draw23.4%29.4%+6.0 pp
Away55.6%52.9%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS76.5%

Historical average

1.242.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.6%
1-117.6%
2-111.8%
0-25.9%
1-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.35
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away47.1%