Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 17:00
11.7355.1%
X3.7925.1%
24.8119.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LDWWLDLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Genoa
DLLLLDDDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.60
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.80
8.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.60
2.50
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded2.60
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.00goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.80
8.80
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.40
Match total
27.60

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.30
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%63.0%+7.9 pp
Draw25.1%25.9%+0.8 pp
Away19.8%11.1%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.590.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.4%
2-118.5%
1-114.8%
2-09.3%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.414.00
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away35.0%