Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 14:00
13.0031.7%
X3.3528.4%
22.3939.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetSpal: 9/10 · Bologna: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LWLWDLDLL
2W 2D 5L · 0.89 PPM
Bologna
DWDLLLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.89
Scored
1.40
1.44
Conceded
1.70
33%
Over 2.5
60%
56%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.11
1H goals
1.40
1.22
2H goals
1.70
78%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.33N=9
For
4.60N=10
4.67
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=10
0.89
Goals scored
1.40
1.44
Goals conceded
1.70
2.33
Total goals
3.10
67%6/9
Over 1.5
70%7/10
33%3/9
Over 2.5
60%6/10
22%2/9
Over 3.5
40%4/10
56%5/9
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.89goals per match
Bologna conceded1.70
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Spal conceded1.44
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=10
0.56
1H goals scored
0.50
0.56
1H goals conceded
0.90
67%6/9
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
22%2/9
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.33
2H goals scored
0.90
0.89
2H goals conceded
0.80
78%7/9
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
44%4/9
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=10
5.33N=9
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.67
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
9.00
67%6/9
Over 8.5
50%5/10
56%5/9
Over 9.5
30%3/10
56%5/9
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.89N=9
For
3.70N=10
4.56
Match total
6.50
56%5/9
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.11N=9
Committed
15.40N=10
26.22
Match total
30.70

Shots

10.89N=9
Shots
11.50N=10
4.33
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%30.2%-1.5 pp
Draw28.4%22.6%-5.8 pp
Away39.8%47.2%+7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS60.4%

Historical average

1.151.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-215.1%
1-013.2%
0-29.4%
2-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.285.19
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.5%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away61.5%