Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 14:00
13.0031.7%
X3.3528.4%
22.3939.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSpal: 9/10 · Bologna: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spal
LWLWDLDLL
2W 2D 5L · 0.89 PPM
Bologna
DWDLLLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.89
Scored
1.40
1.44
Conceded
1.70
33%
Over 2.5
60%
56%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.11
1H goals
1.40
1.22
2H goals
1.70
78%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.33N=9
For
4.60N=10
4.67
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
0.89
Goals scored
1.40
1.44
Goals conceded
1.70
2.33
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spal attack
0.89goals per matchBologna conceded1.70Matchup
Bologna attack
1.40goals per matchSpal conceded1.44Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.56
1H goals scored
0.50
0.56
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.33
2H goals scored
0.90
0.89
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
5.33N=9
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.67
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.89N=9
For
3.70N=10
4.56
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.11N=9
Committed
15.40N=10
26.22
Match total
30.70
Shots
10.89N=9
Shots
11.50N=10
4.33
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%30.2%-1.5 pp
Draw28.4%22.6%-5.8 pp
Away39.8%47.2%+7.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS60.4%
Historical average
1.15–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
1-215.1%
1-013.2%
0-29.4%
2-37.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–5.19
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.5%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.535.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away61.5%