Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-24 · 19:45
15.0318.9%
X4.0223.7%
21.6657.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LLDLLLWLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Milan
LWLWLLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
2.10
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.70
Against
4.40
10.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
2.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.40
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Brescia conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.40
10.60
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.60
Match total
6.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
31.90
Match total
28.80

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.80
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%18.8%-0.2 pp
Draw23.7%18.8%-4.9 pp
Away57.4%62.5%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.062.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-225.0%
1-012.5%
0-412.5%
2-16.3%
0-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.63
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.1%