Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-20 · 19:45
11.1979.7%
X7.0713.4%
213.826.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetAtalanta: 9/10 · Spal: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
LDWWLLWWW
5W 1D 3L · 1.78 PPM
Spal
LLLLLDLLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
3.11
Scored
0.40
1.56
Conceded
1.60
89%
Over 2.5
40%
67%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.78
1H goals
0.90
2.89
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.56N=9
For
4.20N=10
2.89
Against
7.60
11.44
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/9 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
3.11
Goals scored
0.40
1.56
Goals conceded
1.60
4.67
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
3.11goals per matchSpal conceded1.60Matchup
Spal attack
0.40goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.56Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
1.22
1H goals scored
0.20
0.56
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.89
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
8.56N=9
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.89
Corners against
7.60
11.44
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.22N=9
For
3.30N=10
5.78
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=9
Committed
14.60N=10
26.00
Match total
30.50
Shots
17.89N=9
Shots
7.10N=10
10.22
On target
2.90
17%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%80.0%+0.3 pp
Draw13.4%13.3%-0.1 pp
Away6.9%6.7%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS26.7%
Historical average
2.40–0.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-033.3%
3-013.3%
4-013.3%
1-113.3%
4-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.20–2.40
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away30.0%