Serie A · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 19:45
11.6258.8%
X4.0923.3%
25.3317.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetNapoli: 9/10 · Fiorentina: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WLWWDDLLL
3W 2D 4L · 1.22 PPM
Fiorentina
LDWDWLLLD
2W 3D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.22
Scored
1.33
1.22
Conceded
1.67
56%
Over 2.5
67%
56%
BTTS
78%

By half

1.22
1H goals
1.00
1.22
2H goals
2.00
89%
Goal in 2H
89%

Corners

6.89N=9
For
6.00N=9
3.67
Against
6.78
10.56
Total
12.78
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=9
1.22
Goals scored
1.33
1.22
Goals conceded
1.67
2.44
Total goals
3.00
78%7/9
Over 1.5
78%7/9
56%5/9
Over 2.5
67%6/9
22%2/9
Over 3.5
33%3/9
56%5/9
BTTS
78%7/9
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.22goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.67
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.33goals per match
Napoli conceded1.22
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=9
0.78
1H goals scored
0.33
0.44
1H goals conceded
0.67
78%7/9
Over 0.5 1H
78%7/9
44%4/9
Leading at HT
33%3/9
0.44
2H goals scored
1.00
0.78
2H goals conceded
1.00
89%8/9
Over 0.5 2H
89%8/9
33%3/9
More goals in 2H
78%7/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=9
6.89N=9
Corners for
6.00N=9
3.67
Corners against
6.78
10.56
Match total
12.78
56%5/9
Over 8.5
100%9/9
56%5/9
Over 9.5
100%9/9
78%7/9
Team over 4.5
78%7/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.67N=9
For
3.11N=9
4.67
Match total
5.22
78%7/9
Over 3.5
78%7/9

Fouls

11.22N=9
Committed
15.44N=9
25.00
Match total
29.78

Shots

17.00N=9
Shots
10.33N=9
8.00
On target
5.56
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%63.6%+4.8 pp
Draw23.3%13.6%-9.7 pp
Away17.9%22.7%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS40.9%

Historical average

1.680.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.2%
1-213.6%
2-013.6%
3-09.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.553.95
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away28.6%