League One · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
16.5314.3%
X4.7919.5%
21.4166.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
LLWLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Plymouth
WLWWLWDWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.10
1.80
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.70
Against
4.90
9.60
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.10
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.80goals per match
Plymouth conceded0.80
Matchup

Plymouth attack

2.10goals per match
Northampton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.90
9.60
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.90
Match total
5.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
20.70
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
3.10
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.3%21.2%+6.9 pp
Draw19.5%14.1%-5.4 pp
Away66.2%64.7%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

0.972.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.9%
1-29.6%
1-39.6%
0-29.0%
0-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.716.44
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.9%6.1%–28.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT58.3%42.2%–72.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.6%
Away72.2%