League One · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
16.5314.3%
X4.7919.5%
21.4166.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
LLWLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Plymouth
WLWWLWDWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.10
1.80
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.70
Against
4.90
9.60
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.10
1.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.80goals per matchPlymouth conceded0.80Matchup
Plymouth attack
2.10goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.90
9.60
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.90
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
20.70
Match total
25.10
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
3.10
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.3%21.2%+6.9 pp
Draw19.5%14.1%-5.4 pp
Away66.2%64.7%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
0.97–2.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-110.9%
1-29.6%
1-39.6%
0-29.0%
0-38.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.71–6.44
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.9%6.1%–28.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT58.3%42.2%–72.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.6%
Away72.2%