League One · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
12.5037.2%
X3.7125.1%
22.4737.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bolton
DWWWDWDDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Luton
LLLLDDWWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.60
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
11.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bolton attack

2.20goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.20goals per match
Bolton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
11.90
Match total
10.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
20.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.40
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%35.8%-1.5 pp
Draw25.1%27.4%+2.3 pp
Away37.7%36.9%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.536.3%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.501.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-16.7%
1-06.7%
1-26.1%
2-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.205.25
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.538.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Draw FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Away FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away54.8%