League One · 2025/26
2026-04-28 · 19:45
12.8132.9%
X3.5725.9%
22.2541.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
DLLWLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Barnsley
LLLWDDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.00
Against
6.90
9.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.80goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.70
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.30goals per match
Northampton conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.90
9.90
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.20
Match total
20.20

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.40
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches284
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%32.7%-0.2 pp
Draw25.9%28.5%+2.6 pp
Away41.1%38.7%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

1.401.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
1-29.9%
2-19.5%
2-28.1%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.914.75
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=284.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%12.9%–31.2% CI
Draw FT47.9%36.9%–59.2% CI
Away FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals47.9%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.6%
Away58.9%