League One · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.3966.8%
X4.8519.2%
26.6314.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WDWWDLWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Barnsley
DLLLWDDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
6.90
11.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.80goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.70
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.40goals per match
Luton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.90
11.40
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.10
Match total
19.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches209
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.8%71.3%+4.5 pp
Draw19.2%20.1%+0.9 pp
Away14.0%8.6%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.6%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

2.410.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.0%
2-110.0%
2-010.0%
3-08.1%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.64
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=209.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.8%34.3%–63.5% CI
Draw FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.8%3.9%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.5%
Away24.4%