League One · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.1680.2%
X7.2312.9%
213.446.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
WDWWWLLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Northampton
LLDDLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.90
Against
7.90
11.20
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.60goals per matchNorthampton conceded2.00Matchup
Northampton attack
0.60goals per matchCardiff conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.90
11.20
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.80
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
18.10
Match total
21.90
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%79.4%-0.8 pp
Draw12.9%12.4%-0.5 pp
Away6.9%8.2%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.544.3%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
2.75–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.5%
2-110.3%
3-010.3%
4-08.2%
1-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
7.53–2.81
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.539.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.4%
Away47.1%