League One · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.1680.2%
X7.2312.9%
213.446.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WDWWWLLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Northampton
LLDDLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.90
Against
7.90
11.20
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.60goals per match
Northampton conceded2.00
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.60goals per match
Cardiff conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.90
11.20
Match total
11.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.80
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
18.10
Match total
21.90

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.10
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.2%79.4%-0.8 pp
Draw12.9%12.4%-0.5 pp
Away6.9%8.2%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.544.3%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

2.750.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.5%
2-110.3%
3-010.3%
4-08.2%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.532.81
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.539.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away47.1%