League One · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.9448.0%
X3.5326.4%
23.6225.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WDLWWLLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Exeter
DWDDDLLLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
6.60
11.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.50goals per match
Exeter conceded1.80
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.50goals per match
Burton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.60
11.60
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
21.80
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.90
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches831
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%46.5%-1.5 pp
Draw26.4%27.2%+0.8 pp
Away25.7%26.4%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.581.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-010.5%
2-110.0%
1-27.8%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.41
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=831.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches245
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%34.1%–46.2% CI
Away FT24.1%19.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals43.7%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.4%
Away48.2%