League One · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 19:45
11.2872.8%
X5.4617.1%
29.1710.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WWDWWWLLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Port Vale
LLLWLWLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.70goals per match
Port Vale conceded2.00
Matchup

Port Vale attack

0.80goals per match
Cardiff conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
9.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.10
On target
2.20
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.8%74.2%+1.4 pp
Draw17.1%17.7%+0.7 pp
Away10.2%8.1%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

2.380.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
3-011.7%
2-011.3%
1-09.3%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.413.40
Average total10.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.550.4%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%46.0%–71.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.2%–46.6% CI
Away FT7.4%2.9%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals25.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.1%
Away35.2%