League One · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 19:45
11.2872.8%
X5.4617.1%
29.1710.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
WWDWWWLLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Port Vale
LLLWLWLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
8.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.70goals per matchPort Vale conceded2.00Matchup
Port Vale attack
0.80goals per matchCardiff conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.30
Match total
21.30
Shots
17.50N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.10
On target
2.20
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.8%74.2%+1.4 pp
Draw17.1%17.7%+0.7 pp
Away10.2%8.1%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
2.38–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.5%
3-011.7%
2-011.3%
1-09.3%
1-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.41–3.40
Average total10.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.550.4%
Over 11.539.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%46.0%–71.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.2%–46.6% CI
Away FT7.4%2.9%–17.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals25.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.1%
Away35.2%