League One · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
15.1618.1%
X4.1122.7%
21.5859.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rotherham
LDWLLWDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Luton
LLLLLDDWWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rotherham attack

0.80goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Matchup

Luton attack

1.00goals per match
Rotherham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.70
Match total
25.20

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.40
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%11.7%-6.4 pp
Draw22.7%25.5%+2.8 pp
Away59.1%62.8%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

0.942.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-111.7%
0-210.3%
1-210.3%
2-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.326.02
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.4%1.5%–17.7% CI
Draw FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT54.1%38.4%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals51.4%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.5%
Away81.1%