League One · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:00
14.5720.3%
X3.9923.3%
21.6556.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WWDDWDWDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Cardiff
DWDWLWDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
7.70N=10
5.20
Against
3.60
9.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.90goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Matchup

Cardiff attack

2.10goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
7.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.60
9.10
Match total
11.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
21.60
Match total
20.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
3.70
On target
5.30
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.3%16.7%-3.7 pp
Draw23.3%24.0%+0.7 pp
Away56.4%59.4%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.001.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.5%
0-110.9%
0-210.9%
1-110.4%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.45
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%12.5%–36.3% CI
Draw FT22.2%12.5%–36.3% CI
Away FT55.6%41.2%–69.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away66.7%