League One · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:00
13.0430.5%
X3.5526.1%
22.1443.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mansfield
WDDLLDWDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLDDWW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mansfield attack
1.30goals per matchLuton conceded1.30Matchup
Luton attack
1.00goals per matchMansfield conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.80
Match total
24.80
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%32.8%+2.3 pp
Draw26.1%26.2%+0.1 pp
Away43.4%41.0%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS58.6%
Historical average
1.33–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.5%
2-19.3%
1-28.4%
2-27.3%
0-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.64–5.32
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%18.4%–34.0% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.5%–48.8% CI
Away FT34.7%26.8%–43.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals21.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.1%
Away58.5%