League One · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:00
13.0430.5%
X3.5526.1%
22.1443.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mansfield
WDDLLDWDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLDDWW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded1.30
Matchup

Luton attack

1.00goals per match
Mansfield conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
9.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.80
Match total
24.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%32.8%+2.3 pp
Draw26.1%26.2%+0.1 pp
Away43.4%41.0%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.331.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.5%
2-19.3%
1-28.4%
2-27.3%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.32
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%18.4%–34.0% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.5%–48.8% CI
Away FT34.7%26.8%–43.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away58.5%