League One · 2025/26
2026-04-15 · 19:45
11.3270.2%
X4.9918.6%
28.2611.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WWDWWDLWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Northampton
DLLDDLLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.30
Against
7.60
10.90
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.90goals per match
Northampton conceded1.80
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.50goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.60
10.90
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.90
Match total
2.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
27.50
Match total
21.30

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.00
On target
2.00
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%74.2%+3.9 pp
Draw18.6%17.6%-1.0 pp
Away11.2%8.2%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

2.290.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
2-012.0%
2-110.9%
1-18.6%
3-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.273.30
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=267.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.559.2%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%42.7%–65.2% CI
Draw FT34.7%24.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT11.1%5.7%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.1%
Away27.8%