League One · 2025/26
2026-04-14 · 19:45
12.7733.5%
X3.3128.1%
22.4238.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
WLLDDDLDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barnsley
LDDLLLWDDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
7.00
10.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.20goals per match
Barnsley conceded2.00
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.50goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.00
10.70
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.90
Match total
19.70

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches585
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%32.6%-0.9 pp
Draw28.1%28.9%+0.8 pp
Away38.4%38.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.291.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-19.6%
1-09.4%
1-28.9%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.025.04
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=585.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.7%22.4%–36.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%28.5%–42.8% CI
Away FT35.9%29.0%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away55.1%