League One · 2025/26
2026-04-14 · 19:45
12.7733.5%
X3.3128.1%
22.4238.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Port Vale
WLLDDDLDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barnsley
LDDLLLWDDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
7.00
10.70
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.20goals per matchBarnsley conceded2.00Matchup
Barnsley attack
1.50goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.00
10.70
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.90
Match total
19.70
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches585
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%32.6%-0.9 pp
Draw28.1%28.9%+0.8 pp
Away38.4%38.5%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS58.6%
Historical average
1.29–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-19.6%
1-09.4%
1-28.9%
2-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.02–5.04
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=585.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.533.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.7%22.4%–36.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%28.5%–42.8% CI
Away FT35.9%29.0%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.5%
Away55.1%